As war continues to devastate Gaza and its people, we learnt recently that a variant of
poliovirus has been detected in the region. The virus was isolated in six sewage samples collected in late June from Khan Younis and Deir al Balah.
Most infections with poliovirus don’t cause symptoms, but a minority of those who contract the virus
develop paralysis (paralytic polio).
No cases of paralytic polio have been reported in Gaza. But detecting the virus in wastewater is concerning nonetheless.
Types of polio
The cases of polio we’ve seen historically have generally been caused by “wild poliovirus”. For centuries, wild poliovirus affected both poor and wealthy countries, including Australia. The deployment of
effective vaccines in the 1960s led to a dramatic decrease in cases in the following decades among those countries that could afford the vaccines.
The introduction of the
Global Polio Eradication Initiative in 1988 enabled more equitable vaccination. There were only
12 cases of paralysis caused by wild poliovirus in 2023, in just two countries: Pakistan and Afghanistan.
However, as the number of wild poliovirus cases decreased there was an increase in cases of vaccine-derived poliovirus causing paralysis.
There are two types of polio vaccines: one is given orally, and the other by injection. The oral polio vaccine is based on a weakened virus – so it doesn’t cause disease, but can still reproduce. Vaccine-derived poliovirus emerges when people vaccinated with the
oral polio vaccine excrete the vaccine virus in their stool and it spreads to other people.
Over time, it may mutate to become a virus that circulates and causes paralysis in populations with low levels of immunity. In 2023, there were
524 polio cases in 32 countries caused by vaccine-derived poliovirus.
It’s a strain of vaccine-derived poliovirus that has been detected in the wastewater in Gaza –
type 2.
High vaccine coverage isn’t enough
The most important indicator of eradicating polio, both wild and vaccine-derived, is vaccine coverage. This is usually measured as the percentage of children under five who have received at least four vaccine doses, ideally 95 per cent.
High vaccination coverage has been achieved by a combination of routine immunisation in early childhood plus national or local catch-up vaccination campaigns, particularly in areas where
the virus pops up.
However, high vaccination coverage is not always enough to eliminate the virus.
Early in the 21st century,
India and Nigeria were reporting the highest number of polio cases in the world. After an accelerated immunisation campaign in India, vaccine coverage rates were high by 2007 and cases were decreasing. But many cases continued to be reported in impoverished districts of western Uttar Pradesh, where access to clean water and sanitation was poor.
Research shows a high level of pathogens in children’s intestines can make the
absorption of the oral vaccine less effective, while unsanitary conditions make it easier for the virus to spread. After a sanitation and hygiene project
began in 2007, the last case of polio in Uttar Pradesh occurred
in 2010, and the entire country eradicated polio
in 2014.
Wild polio
was eradicated from Gaza more than 25 years ago. But it’s possible the re-emergence of vaccine-derived poliovirus is due to a combination of poor
hygiene and sanitation, as we saw in Uttar Pradesh, and reduced vaccine coverage.
Polio vaccination coverage in the Palestinian territories was
99 per cent in 2022. By the end of 2023, coverage had dropped to 89 per cent. However, the data were not separated by each of the territories (the West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza), so coverage may be lower in Gaza.
The recent outbreaks
We saw the detection of
a similar strain of poliovirus in wastewater in Jerusalem, London and New York in early 2022.
Parts of these cities have high concentrations of ultra-Orthodox Jews, which may have
lower rates of vaccination than the overall population. In
Rockland County, 65 kilometres north of New York City, a young, unimmunised Orthodox Jewish man became the first case of polio transmitted locally in the United States
in 30 years.
There’s no evidence of vaccination hesitancy among Ultra-Orthodox Jews in Australia. However, there are other communities where vaccination rates are low, including some shires in the
Northern Rivers district of New South Wales.
Communities with low vaccination rates, whatever the reason, are vulnerable to infectious diseases such as polio.
The source of the virus
The oral vaccine used in Gaza has not contained type 2
since 2016, so it must have come from elsewhere.
In 2023, most outbreaks of
type 2 vaccine-derived poliovirus were in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Yemen, Nigeria, Sudan and Somalia. There was also one case in Egypt, which borders Gaza. Egypt could be the source of this virus, but we’ll need further investigation.
It’s unlikely to have come from Israel as there have been no detections of poliovirus in wastewater there since
2022.
A danger to the world?
First, we must not forget that poliovirus can cross borders and maintaining high vaccination rates is the most effective protective strategy. It’s also crucial to contain the virus inside Gaza. UNICEF and partners are preparing for
a vaccination campaign focusing on young children.
Second, it’s important to maintain wastewater surveillance for polio, which is an early warning mechanism that can initiate public health action before symptomatic cases occur.
In 2022, Victoria was the only Australian state conducting routine polio wastewater surveillance until
NSW adopted the practice when the outbreaks in Jerusalem, New York and London occurred. Wastewater surveillance is worthwhile in all states and territories.
Third, but not least, this should be a wake-up call highlighting the need to cease hostilities and provide unrestricted access by aid agencies to improve the provision of clean water, sanitation and effective health services throughout Gaza. This is an urgent global health priority.
Michael Toole, Associate Principal Research Fellow, Burnet Institute
This article is republished from
The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the
original article.