James CookScotland editor
Figures to be published on Tuesday are expected to show that Scotland remains the drugs death capital of Europe for the seventh year in a row.
In 2023, there were 1,172 drug misuse deaths in Scotland, bringing the total in a decade to 10,481, according to official figures.
Although experts expect that number to have dropped slightly for 2024, they are warning that any fall will almost certainly be a blip.
Kirsten Horsburgh, chief executive of the Scottish Drugs Forum says the arrival of deadly synthetic opioids known as nitazenes in the country is “a crisis on top of a crisis.”
“Suspected deaths for the first quarter of this year are already higher than they were last year,” she said.
How did we get here?
This is a crisis with deep roots in the social and economic changes which swept through Scotland in the latter half of the 20th Century as the country’s economy shifted away from manufacturing.
When the shipyards, steel mills and collieries fell silent, they left a generation of men, whose pride and identity had been bound up with the things they made, struggling to adapt.
Society changed rapidly too. The old city slums were cleared, but many people were moved to damp, isolated tower blocks with limited amenities.
It was a recipe for joblessness, family breakdown and addiction.
In 1972, in a famous speech at the University of Glasgow, the trade unionist Jimmy Reid said Britain’s “major social problem” could be summed up in one word – alienation.
Men, he said, viewed themselves as “victims of blind economic forces beyond their control” leading to a “feeling of despair and hopelessness that pervades people who feel with justification that they have no real say in shaping or determining their own destinies.”
For many years, this was a particularly male problem.
In the early 2000s, men were four or five times more likely to die of an overdose as women – although that gap has since narrowed.
One way alienation found expression, said Reid, was in “those who seek to escape permanently from the reality of society through intoxicants and narcotics.”
Half a century later, Scotland is still grappling with alienation and still struggling with the scourge of alcohol and drugs.
High unemployment in the 1980s was followed by cuts to public spending after the financial crash of 2007/8 and the skyrocketing cost of living this decade.
By 2023, people in the most deprived parts of Scotland were more than 15 times more likely to die from drug misuse than those in the richest areas.
As demand for drugs rose, so did supply. From 1980, heroin from Afghanistan and Iran began to arrive in Scotland in large quantities, with deadly results.
The sharing of dirty needles by injecting drug users and the arrival of HIV led to a public health crisis which was graphically depicted in Irvine Welsh’s 1993 novel, Trainspotting, and its film adaptation.
‘Drugs are becoming normalised’
Drug overdoses are not the only evidence that Scotland is experiencing a crisis related to alienation. Other so-called deaths of despair are also high.
Scotland has a higher rate of suicide than other parts of the UK and some of the highest levels of alcohol-related deaths in Europe.
These too are often linked to poverty. In 2023, deaths directly caused by alcohol were 4.5 times higher in the most deprived areas of Scotland than in the least deprived.
Taken together, says Annemarie Ward, of the charity Faces and Voices of Recovery UK, Scotland has a “penchant for oblivion”.
Illegal drugs, she argues, have become part of the national culture.
“It’s become normalised,” she said. “I don’t think we have to accept that normality.”
Of course, poverty and despair are not unique to Scotland. Other countries and other parts of the UK have also struggled with deprivation.
Clearly poverty alone is not a sufficient explanation for Scotland’s situation.
Various other theories have been put forward including the existence of a macho, hard-partying culture; a reluctance, especially among men, to seek mental health support; and even the country’s long, dark winters.
Another suggestion is that years of substance abuse are now catching up with the ageing Trainspotting generation – although this is disputed.
Between 2000 and 2023, according to the National Records of Scotland, the average age of a drug misuse death increased from 32 to 45.
Another potential explanation is the ripple effect of trauma.
When more than 1,000 people are dying every year in a small country, the implications for their families and friends are enormous and potentially catastrophic.
Drugs have scarred whole communities with abuse of substances continuing from generation to generation.
Nearly “every person who seeks treatment has been traumatised in some way,” says Dr Susanna Galea-Singer, chair of the Faculty of Addictions at the Royal College of Psychiatrists in Scotland.
Last year, Public Health Scotland published a review of all drug deaths in 2020 which revealed that 602 children lost a parent or parental figure to overdose in that year alone.
“You get social fragmentation when you have aspects of poverty, aspects of trauma,” said Dr Galea-Singer.
“You burn bridges with families, it’s just extremely difficult. It does fragment society.”
Trauma might explain a high or even rising level of drug deaths, but even it does not adequately account for a dramatic jump in the numbers a decade ago.
There appear to be two main reasons for the surge in deaths back then.
First, in 2015, the Scottish government cut funding for alcohol and drug partnerships, which co-ordinated local addiction services around the country.
“We saw the start of a really sharp increase in drug-related deaths,” said Kirsten Horsburgh of the Scottish Drugs Forum.
“There’s no doubt that cuts to funding in this area reduces the amounts of services that people can access, reduces the staff that are able to support people and results in deaths.”
Ministers later boosted resources as part of a five-year “national mission” to tackle the drugs emergency, only for funding to fall again in real terms in the past two years.
“Cuts to funding in this area is a disaster,” said Ms Horsburgh. “Even with increased resource as part of the national mission, we can see it’s still not enough.
“We can’t just have small pilots of projects to address a public health emergency.
“We would not do that for any other public health emergency. We did not do for Covid. We should not be doing that for the drug deaths crisis.”
The second big change came around the same time as drug services were being cut.
It was the arrival on Scottish streets of dangerous benzodiazepenes known as street valium.
These blue pills were a fake and powerful version of the anti-anxiety medication, Valium, and they were deadly.
Nicola Sturgeon, who was First Minister at the time, would later admit that her SNP government had taken its “eye off the ball” on the matter.
The issue of funding to reduce drug deaths remains contentious.
Many public health experts support a harm reduction approach involving the provision of substitute drugs such as methadone, clean needles, and a drug consumption room which has been set up in Glasgow.
“Harm reduction has to be the core of any effective evidence-based drugs policy approach,” said Ms Horsburgh of the Scottish Drugs Forum.
There are also calls from some quarters for decriminalisation of all drugs and a transfer of powers from Westminster to Holyrood.
Harm reduction
Annemarie Ward of Faces and Voices of Recovery UK agreed that harm reduction should be part of the mix but said the balance needed to tilt towards rehabilitation.
“When government ministers talk about treatment in Scotland, what they’re talking about is harm reduction,” she said.
“When the general public hears the word treatment, they’re thinking detox, rehab, people getting on with their lives.”
Ms Ward also wants a shift away from NHS provision of drugs services in favour of organisations, such as her charity, which focus on rehabilitation and recovery.
“Our treatment system is delivered through the public sector, which means it’s incredibly bureaucratic. So you can’t just walk into a service and get seen that day, for instance, the way you can in England.”
Ms Horsburgh and Ms Ward may have different priorities for tackling the crisis but both agree that it is almost certainly about to get worse.
“Nitazenes are a whole new ball game,” warns Ms Ward.
“These are the synthetic opioids that are 100 times stronger than your average hit of heroin, and they’re also ending up in the coke supply.”
She predicts an exponential rise in deaths “unless we start to help people get clean and sober again.”
If that is the case, it appears Scotland has not yet got to grips with this emergency.
The causes of the drug deaths crisis are multiple and complex.
But the fear is that they are producing a cumulative and compounding effect from which it is proving almost impossible to escape.