A U.S. special forces soldier has pleaded not guilty to charges alleging he leveraged classified intelligence about a mission to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, using the information to win over $400,000 on the prediction market Polymarket.
Gannon Ken Van Dyke, 38, entered his plea after being indicted on multiple counts, including the unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain, theft of nonpublic government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction.
He was released on $250,000 bail, with his travel restricted to specific areas within New York, North Carolina, and California, along with necessary transit points.
This case emerges amid heightened scrutiny of prediction markets, platforms that allow individuals to wager on various outcomes.
Policymakers are increasingly calling for stricter regulation due to concerns about potential insider trading.
The Trump administration has previously expressed support for the expansion of this industry. The president’s eldest son serves as an adviser for both Polymarket and its competitor, Kalshi, and is also an investor in Polymarket.
Furthermore, Trump’s social media platform, Truth Social, is set to launch its own prediction market, Truth Predict.
Prosecutors allege that Van Dyke was directly involved in the planning and execution of the Maduro capture mission and had signed non-disclosure agreements related to these operations. Despite this, he reportedly placed a series of bets predicting Maduro would be out of power by January 31.
Polymarket, a prominent platform in the sector, identified the suspicious activity and subsequently reported it to the government, according to CEO Shayne Coplan.
Van Dyke, who is stationed at Fort Bragg in North Carolina, was granted bond following a court hearing last week and will continue his legal proceedings in New York. He is represented by attorney Zach Intrater.
