Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party has taken a dramatic nine-point lead over Labour, a new poll has revealed.
The Ipsos survey showed Reform had 34 per cent of the vote share, compared to Labour’s dwindling 25 per cent.
This could mean that if a general election were held tomorrow, Mr Farage could be elected prime minister – but the next election is not expected to be until 2028 at the earliest.
Meanwhile, the Conservatives had only 15 per cent of the estimated vote share in the lowest result ever recorded by Ipsos, and the highest ever for Reform.
The figures from the polling of 1,180 Brits show Labour’s plunging popularity, after winning the 2024 general election with the biggest majority since Tony Blair.
Only 19 per cent say they are satisfied with the work he is doing, while 73 per cent were dissatisfied, according to the poll.
The figures showed that 54 per cent of Labour voters and 48 per cent of Tory voters have changed their support, with a high proportion of defectors from both going to Reform.
If that played out, there would be just 10 Conservative seats while Labour would be reduced from 403 to 140.
Gideon Skinner, senior director of UK politics at Ipsos, said: “The disappointment with Labour is clear, even among those who voted for the party in 2024.
“We know from Ipsos research how difficult it has been to shift entrenched public pessimism over the cost of living, immigration, and the state of public services.
“So far, Britons do not think Labour is delivering the tangible change they were hoping for in 2024.”
Earlier this month, Reform was hit with chaos after the man brought in by Nigel Farage to professionalise the party quit following a row with their newest MP.
Zia Yusuf, a Muslim businessman, described new Runcorn MP Sarah Pochin as “dumb” after she challenged Keir Starmer over the legality of women wearing the burqa in the UK during Prime Minister’s Questions.
After fury broke out about his comment, Mr Yusuf, who had been the target of anger by many activists over several months, announced his resignation.
He wrote on X: “11 months ago, I became chairman of Reform. I’ve worked full time as a volunteer to take the party from 14 to 30 per cent, quadrupled its membership and delivered historic electoral results.
“I no longer believe working to get a Reform government elected is a good use of my time, and hereby resign the office.”
